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Paper · arXiv

LLM knowledge for improved Out-of-Distribution Tabular Prediction - A Cross-Validated Regularisation Approach

Prediction models degrade when the deployment population differs from the one used to train them, and training data cannot say which feature-response relationships will transfer. Expert elicitation is slow and unscalable. We ask whether coefficient priors elicited from large language models (LLMs) improve out-of-distribution (OOD) prediction as the shrinkage target of a regularised regression instead of zero, across five tabular datasets split on real covariates, selecting providers and prior structures by source-domain cross-validation alone. The priors help on four of five datasets, by up to 7.9% OOD mean squared error, and ten of twenty-four prior-informed results resolve the mean impr...

AuthorsSølve Langseth, Kristoffer Herland Hellton, Hugo L. Hammer
Primary categorycs.LG
Published27 October 2026
Last updated at source27 October 2026
cs.LGstat.MEstat.ML
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