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Paper · arXiv

Parameter-Efficient Adaptation of Time Series Foundation Models for Electrical Load Forecasting

Accurate electrical load forecasting supports power-system operation across countries, regions, cities, and buildings, but repeated development of target-specific models is costly. Time series foundation models (TSFMs) provide reusable pretrained backbones, although multi-domain pretraining may not fully capture load-specific characteristics. This paper compares pretrained inference, full fine-tuning, and low-rank adaptation (LoRA) in terms of forecasting accuracy and adaptation efficiency across four electrical load aggregation levels. MOIRAI 1.0 Large serves as the primary backbone, while Chronos-2 assesses whether the findings transfer across model families. The evaluation covers both ...

AuthorsAliullah, Julian Oelhaf, Edouard Fouché et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published20 October 2026
Last updated at source20 October 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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