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Paper · arXiv

Speak vs. Know: Balancing Behavior and Knowledge Distributions of Large Language Models

Recent work reports that the distribution verbalized directly in the output text aligns far better with human opinion distributions than the next-token log-probability distribution of LLMs. However, the verbalized distribution reflects what LLMs know about a group's opinions (knowledge distribution), while what they actually output at deployment is governed by their log-probability distribution (behavior distribution). We find that when prompting LLMs to predict the opinion of a specific group, the most likely answer under the verbalized distribution differs from that under the log-probability distribution for 37% of World Values Survey questions, averaged over three LLMs. Thus, LLMs' kno...

AuthorsYang Liu, Masahiro Kaneko, Chenhui Chu
Primary categorycs.CL
Published20 October 2026
Last updated at source20 October 2026
cs.CL
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