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Paper · arXiv

Fixed-Size Active Statistical Inference

Variance reduction techniques improve the efficiency of drawing conclusions from data. Recent proposals for variance-reduction use two complementary techniques to reduce variance: incorporating machine learning predictions into estimators and weighted sampling. A popular weighted sampling algorithm is Poisson Sampling (PS), which independently flips a biased coin at each unit and includes all heads in the sample. A fundamental flaw with PS is that it has a random sample size, which presents practical challenges and introduces variance into the estimator. We show that a fixed-size alternative, known in survey sampling as Conditional Poisson Sampling (CPS), is a drop-in replacement for PS o...

AuthorsErik Skalnes, Michael Oberst
Primary categorycs.LG
Published19 October 2026
Last updated at source19 October 2026
cs.LG
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