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Paper · arXiv

Beyond Static Leaderboards: Capability-Focused Evaluation with Structural Diversity for Time Series Foundation Models

Static public benchmarks for time series foundation models (TSFMs) typically have fixed and narrow test distributions. Their repeated reuse encourages benchmark-specific tuning, making reported performance reflect adaptation to the fixed test set rather than genuine forecasting generalization. In addition, a single aggregate score cannot fully characterize model capabilities across distinct temporal structures and input relationships. We propose CaFE (Capability-Focused Evaluation), a refreshable evaluation extension grounded in original benchmark data that enriches static benchmarks with structural diversity and enriches single-score black-box evaluation with multi-dimensional, capabilit...

AuthorsHongyin Zhang, Mingyi Xiang, Rongzhao Chen et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published19 October 2026
Last updated at source19 October 2026
cs.AI
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