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Paper · arXiv

Global probabilistic forecasting of air pollution

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) refers to particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 micrometre or less. It comes from human activities, such as traffic and industry, and from wildfires, desert dust and gases emitted by vegetation. Short-term exposure to it accounts for about a million deaths a year. Operational forecasts run on grids tens of kilometres wide, which hide the pollution breathed by nearly two hundred million people a day. Machine learning has transformed weather forecasting, but data-driven forecasts of air pollution still blur extremes and lose skill as the air travels. Here we introduce Foehn, a generative model that learns from global kilometre-scale estimates...

AuthorsAmmar Kheder, Michael Boy, Zhi-song Liu
Primary categorycs.AI
Published19 October 2026
Last updated at source19 October 2026
cs.AI
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