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Paper · arXiv

Conditional Average Treatment Effect Distillation for Hypothetical State-Intervention Targeting Under Budget Constraints

Personalized public-health targeting must capture heterogeneous intervention benefits while remaining interpretable under resource constraints. Flexible causal-effect models can be hard to operationalize, while coarse subgroup policies may lose individualized effect information. We study budget-constrained hypothetical state interventions in observational data without a logged historical decision policy. For obesity, elevated glucose, and lifetime smoking-history states, causal-structure-informed pretreatment covariates are prespecified, with capacity capped at 70% of those observed in the adverse state. We evaluate causal distillation where Causal Forest and Bayesian Causal Forest teache...

AuthorsVasundhara Acharya, Bülent Yener
Primary categorycs.LG
Published19 October 2026
Last updated at source19 October 2026
cs.LG
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