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Paper · arXiv

ASE: Attribution-Guided Semantic Evolution for Time Series Forecasting

External text can supply predictive information absent from numerical histories, but its value depends on how it is represented, combined and deployed. We present Attribution-guided Semantic Evolution (ASE), a modular framework for constructing textual factors, evaluating their conditional contribution, and deploying validation-selected numerical--textual predictors. ASE supports task-specific implementations with lexical measurements, semantic primitives or evolved event/state factors, coupled to suitable numerical experts. Its feedback-based implementation uses conditional refitting diagnostics to guide factor revision and combination search. We evaluate ASE on the four text-associated ...

AuthorsYuxuan Zheng, Zhaoyang Li, Purui Liu et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published16 October 2026
Last updated at source16 October 2026
cs.AI
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