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Paper · arXiv

Predicting Unseen Scientific Interactions: Conditional Flow Models Hallucinate Non-Additive Effects

Conditional generative models are increasingly used for scientific prediction beyond the direct training support. Yet scientific questions often concern whether one intervention changes the effect of another. Such interactions can be of primary interest while explaining little of the total variation, allowing models to appear accurate overall without recovering the relevant scientific effect. It remains unclear how these models learn interactions and when these successfully extrapolate to unseen conditions. We therefore study interaction recovery in flow-matching models using a physiological time-series simulator, drug dose-response data, combinatorial cell perturbations, and molecular co...

AuthorsSam Gijsen, Moritz Seiler, Kerstin Ritter
Primary categorycs.LG
Published14 October 2026
Last updated at source14 October 2026
cs.LGq-bio.QM
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