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Paper · arXiv

When Occupation-derived Skills Don't Help: On the Limits of Skill-Augmented Career Path Prediction

Skills are widely assumed to play a central role in career transitions, motivating their use in career path prediction (CPP) systems. In this work, we critically examine whether explicit skill representations provide complementary signal beyond text-based job representations. We evaluate multiple strategies for incorporating skills into CPP models, including score fusion and neural architectures, under two conditions: predicted skills and ground-truth ESCO annotations. Surprisingly, across two benchmark datasets, none of these settings yield substantial improvements over strong text-only baselines. Even when using ground-truth skills, gains remain marginal and inconsistent. Through detail...

AuthorsEge Süalp, Elena Senger, Toine Bogers et al.
Primary categorycs.CL
Published14 October 2026
Last updated at source14 October 2026
cs.CL
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