Twenty Days Later: A Pre-Registered Test of History-Based Forecasts of Brand Mentions in Gemini Answers
Counts of which brands a large language model names are useful only if they hold long enough to act on. We test this with a pre-registered replication. The same 162 requests (54 questions in English, Estonian and Finnish about three software categories, four of twelve candidate brands per question, three repeats) were sent to gemini-3.1-pro-preview in three waves within about ten hours on 22 and 23 September 2026, and again on 13 October 2026, 20.3 days after the third wave, with identical request bodies. The plan and its decision rule were frozen, hashed and registered on OSF before the first call. The outcome is a lexical mention label per answer and brand, 648 per wave. The primary for...
| Authors | Dmitrij Żatuchin |
|---|---|
| Primary category | cs.IR |
| Published | 14 October 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 14 October 2026 |
Silytics shows public metadata from arXiv and links to the original. Information may be incomplete or out of date. Last refreshed 15 October 2026. Licenses and terms of the original apply to the work itself. Not financial, legal or professional advice.