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Paper · arXiv

Semi-Amortized Bayesian Inference with Reusable Local Posteriors

Amortized Bayesian inference uses simulations to perform Bayesian estimation when likelihoods are expensive or analytically unavailable. However, learning the full joint posterior is challenging in high-dimensional models with complex dependencies. We introduce a semi-amortized method that divides parameters into smaller blocks, and uses conditional independence to identify the information needed to infer each block. We train neural estimators for blocks whose posterior updates are computationally expensive or frequently repeated. Each estimator learns from simulations of the relevant model components to approximate the block's full conditional posterior, given the relevant observations a...

AuthorsNiek Stevenson, Paul-Christian Bürkner, Andrew Heathcote et al.
Primary categorystat.ML
Published13 October 2026
Last updated at source13 October 2026
stat.MLcs.LG
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