CALM-5G: Event-Level Conformal Risk Control for Predictive Service-Assurance Alarms
Predictive service assurance converts forecasts of key performance indicators into alarms, and that conversion decides whether the assurance function is deployable. We present CALM-5G, an assurance layer that operates above any forecasting backbone and issues alarms with distribution-free, finite-sample guarantees. It calibrates on service-level violation events, scores violation onset directly, selects its calibration scheme out of sample, and reports the alarm duty cycle with every certified miss rate. Four corpora are evaluated separately, namely a production cellular network, commercial 5G traces, an open radio access network testbed and our 5G standalone testbed. Risk control on the ...
| Authors | Ömer Faruk İşcanlı, Yağmur Sabucu Sandal |
|---|---|
| Primary category | cs.NI |
| Published | 13 October 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 13 October 2026 |
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