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Paper · arXiv

GIFT-Eval-CTX: A Benchmark For Contextual Forecasting Model Evaluation

Contextual forecasting seeks to improve time series forecasting by incorporating forward-looking information, such as planned events, external conditions, and expert expectations. However, reliable evaluation remains difficult: existing benchmarks often have limited domain coverage, lack standardized history-future splits, or provide text that is not guaranteed to inform the future. We introduce GIFT-Eval-CTX, a benchmark that isolates whether forecasting methods can translate verified future information into accurate numerical trajectories. Built upon GIFT-Eval, GIFT-Eval-CTX contains 10,000 instances across 20 datasets. Each instance provides structured effects derived from the realized...

AuthorsXu Liu, Hanshu Yan, Taha Aksu et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published13 October 2026
Last updated at source13 October 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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