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Paper · arXiv

CivWorldBench: Evaluating Language World Models in Structured Multi-Agent Sandbox Worlds

The growing use of language models for forecasting motivates a broader evaluation of their world-model capabilities. Such evaluation must go beyond predictive accuracy to assess hidden-state inference and intervention prediction. Real-world forecasting benchmarks offer limited access to hidden-state ground truth and controlled experiments. We introduce CivWorldBench, a benchmark built on a multi-agent strategy game engine with recorded internal states, controlled observations, and paired intervention rollouts. Its 1,900 decision points from 475 worlds support three task levels: association forecasting, belief inference, and intervention prediction. Reference predictors support attributabl...

AuthorsAng Li, Haofei Yu, Zhengwei Tao et al.
Primary categorycs.CL
Published12 October 2026
Last updated at source12 October 2026
cs.CL
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