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Paper · arXiv

XForecast: The KDD 2026 Finance Day Challenge on News-Grounded Financial Forecasting

Financial forecasting has traditionally relied on numerical time-series (TS) signals, while textual information such as news remains largely underutilized. We introduce XForecast, a benchmark and competition for news-grounded financial forecasting, where the task is to predict stock price movements four weeks ahead using both historical price data and paired news signals. XForecast combines stock price data with curated financial text generated using FinTexTS, a multimodal dataset generation method. It covers 100 large-cap stocks from 2019--2023, with training on 2019--2022 and evaluation on 2023. To better evaluate models that leverage textual signals, we adopt a weighted hit rate metric...

AuthorsJaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Seunghan Lee et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published12 October 2026
Last updated at source12 October 2026
cs.LG
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