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Paper · arXiv

A Plausible Future Is Not a Causal Future: Can Video Models Generate How the World Unfolds?

Large-scale video generation models are increasingly viewed as a promising path toward world models, yet their ability to capture causally coherent physical dynamics remains poorly understood. Existing evaluations largely emphasize visual quality, prompt adherence, or broad physical plausibility, leaving open whether a model can faithfully realize a complete causal cascade, in which an initiating event propagates through causally dependent interactions to a terminal outcome. We introduce CausalCascade, a simulator-grounded benchmark centered on 50 event-rich Blender scenes with structured event graphs, graph-grounded diagnostic VQA, three levels of future-event specification, and 2,832 co...

AuthorsJialiang Li, Zhengning Xu, Zongyang Ma et al.
Primary categorycs.CV
Published11 October 2026
Last updated at source11 October 2026
cs.CV
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