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Paper · arXiv

Critical Mass: Structure-Disjoint Splits Drift With the Libraries They Are Built On

Molecular machine learning evaluates out-of-distribution performance with structure disjoint splits, a construction rule fixed once at the scale its library happened to have: threshold a pairwise distance, then assign whole connected components to folds. For predicting structures from mass spectra, the field has converged on single-linkage clustering under the myopic Maximum Common Edge Subgraph (MCES) distance at a threshold of 10. This convention was set on 29,000 molecules but public libraries now hold 227,690 molecules. MCES is NP-hard per pair over a quadratically growing set, and so the criterion has never been evaluated at that scale. We propose an optimized version of this criteri...

AuthorsTomo Oga, Devesh Shah, Cailum M. K. Stienstra et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published8 October 2026
Last updated at source8 October 2026
cs.LGcs.CE
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