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Paper · arXiv

Uncertainty-Aware Optimization for Physics-Aware Highway Trajectory Prediction

Accurate trajectory forecasting and well-defined predictive uncertainty are crucial for reliable, safety-critical applications such as autonomous driving. Most trajectory prediction approaches provide point estimates only, while uncertainty-aware approaches typically quantify uncertainty only in the trajectory space. In physics-aware approaches, uncertainty in the predicted motion variables should be explicitly modeled and propagated through the vehicle dynamics. Otherwise, the resulting trajectory-space uncertainty may not fully reflect the variability introduced by the underlying motion prediction. Therefore, in this work, uncertainty-aware extensions of X-TRACK (X-TRACK-DE and X-TRACK-...

AuthorsAanchal Rajesh Chugh, Sebastian Dorn
Primary categorycs.LG
Published8 October 2026
Last updated at source8 October 2026
cs.LG
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