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Paper · arXiv

Sample-Efficient Generative Conformal Prediction

Generative conformal prediction builds uncertainty sets from samples of a conditional generator, which are efficient only when the samples represent the response distribution well. This can require many samples, each of which can be costly, as in large diffusion models and scientific simulators, so the sampling budget must be used efficiently. Existing methods draw the same number of samples at every input, wasting samples where the response distribution is simple and undersampling where it is complex, which inflates sets and leaves those inputs under-covered. We propose CASA (Conformal Adaptive Sample Allocation), which characterizes the marginal value of an additional sample and allocat...

AuthorsMinxing Zheng, Shixiang Zhu
Primary categorycs.LG
Published8 October 2026
Last updated at source8 October 2026
cs.LGstat.ME
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