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Paper · arXiv

Seq-Flow: Efficient Probabilistic Forecasting with Self-Rollout Error Control

Many scientific forecasting tasks require updating a distribution over future trajectories as new observations arrive. Conventional diffusion and flow models generate each forecast from Gaussian noise, often at the cost of many sampling steps. Warm-start methods reuse earlier predictions to reduce this cost, but their models are not trained to perform the forecast update itself, which can compromise quality under few-step sampling. In this work, we introduce Seq-Flow, a conditional flow model whose ODE transports samples from the previous forecast distribution to the updated one. Because successive forecasts often differ only modestly, this transport starts from an informative distributio...

AuthorsYinan Huang, Shitij Govil, Bo Dai et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published7 October 2026
Last updated at source7 October 2026
cs.LG
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