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Paper · arXiv

OrthoGen: A Generative Orthogonal Learner for Time-Varying Treatments

Estimating conditional distributional potential outcomes (CDPOs) over time is important in medicine (e.g., to estimate patient-specific risks under different treatment sequences). However, this task is challenging because of time-varying confounding, yet existing adjustment strategies for this task are limited. In this paper, we aim to learn CDPOs under time-varying treatments using flexible generative models. Our contributions are two-fold. (1) We introduce a tailored adjustment strategy for our setting, namely, generative recursive g-computation. Our adjustment strategy recursively propagates full conditional outcome distributions rather than conditional means, modeling the variables of...

AuthorsTomàs Garriga, Valentyn Melnychuk, Konstantin Hess et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published7 October 2026
Last updated at source7 October 2026
cs.LG
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