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Paper · arXiv

Holdout Best-of-N: Unbiased Evaluation and Its Cost

Reusing the scores that select a Best-of-$N$ winner can overstate its expected reward. We study evaluation from a fixed matrix of $K$ independent scores per candidate for a policy that selects using $J$ fresh scores. A single estimator based only on this matrix is exactly unbiased for expected judge reward under every independent, stable collection of candidate-specific score laws if and only if $J<K$, for every pool size $M\ge N\ge2$. At $J=K-1$, the selector deepens as $K$ grows. For independent Gaussian scores with common variance and fixed $M\ge N\ge2$, the unbiased minimax risk in this regime is of order $σ^2/\sqrt K$, attained by Holdout; allowing bias improves the rate to $σ^2/K$. ...

AuthorsShrey Shah, Yinheng Li
Primary categorycs.CL
Published6 October 2026
Last updated at source6 October 2026
cs.CL
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