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Paper · arXiv

Confidence-Ordering Reversal under Contextual Priors in Neural Decoding

Contextual priors improve neural-to-language decoding by reshaping candidate scores. However, confidence is read from the same reshaped scores, so the errors a prior leaves behind can become more confident with no change in accuracy to reveal it. We study how a prior shapes confidence in speech retrieval on MEG-MASC and MOUS using local decoding scores, a contextual prior combined by additive shallow fusion, and the fused top-two margin as confidence. Among initially incorrect predictions, we find a confidence-ordering reversal: a larger margin makes a repair more likely when the correct candidate starts near the top of the local ranking, but less likely when it starts lower. On MEG-MASC,...

AuthorsXinyu Zhang, Sichao Liu
Primary categorycs.AI
Published6 October 2026
Last updated at source6 October 2026
cs.AIcs.IRq-bio.NC
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