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Paper · arXiv

ProximalFM: Amortized Proximal Causal Inference under Hidden Confounding

Standard causal identification methods often assume no unmeasured confounding and can fail when relevant confounders are unobserved. Proximal causal inference instead uses proxy variables to identify effects under hidden confounding. However, nonparametric proximal estimation can be challenging in practice: recovering causal estimands such as the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) requires solving an ill-posed integral equation that is data-hungry, hyperparameter-sensitive, and optimization-unstable. Bayesian inference for such models provides a desirable alternative, mitigating these difficulties by regularizing through the prior. However, computing a posterior is itself challen...

AuthorsChristophe Muller, Ayub Kharel, Alex Luedtke et al.
Primary categorystat.ML
Published6 October 2026
Last updated at source13 October 2026
stat.MLcs.LG
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