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Paper · arXiv

A Response Theory Probe for Learned Stochastic AI Simulators, Tested on Lorenz-63

Machine-learning emulators of chaotic and stochastic systems are usually validated on forecast skill and long-run statistics. Neither certifies that an emulator responds correctly to forcing, the property that projection and attribution studies rely on. Linear response theory makes this testable: the forced response follows from unperturbed correlations through a generalized fluctuation-dissipation relation, and decomposes over the stochastic Ruelle-Pollicott resonances of the Koopman generator. Building on the Koopmanism Response framework, we turn this into a calibrated, mode-resolved test for learned surrogates: each surrogate rollout passes or fails each check, and failure rates are c...

AuthorsJoão Böger, Simon Driscoll, Niccolò Zagli et al.
Primary categorymath.DS
Published5 October 2026
Last updated at source6 October 2026
math.DScs.LGnlin.CD
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