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Paper · arXiv

When Low Prediction Error Misleads Planning: Diagnosing Representation, Dynamics, and Decision Failures in Latent World Models

The component that dominates a latent world model's prediction error need not be the one whose repair most improves action selection. We show this by comparing action sequences from identical physical starts and separating endpoint error into a candidate-pool center and action-relative responses. Across four model families and four tasks, a confirmation pool of 256 new starts per task and 300 shared candidates per start shows that center error dominates MSE in 14/16 model-task cells. Yet in six of these cells, an oracle that corrects only the action-relative responses yields better physical rank correlation and top-30 elite quality than one that corrects only the center, while leaving mor...

AuthorsRui Min, Xianyao Li, Fang Xu et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published4 October 2026
Last updated at source4 October 2026
cs.LG
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