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Paper · arXiv

GRAM: Correcting Frozen Time-Series Foundation Models via Graph-Retrieved Amplitude Memory

Time-series foundation models (TSFMs) enable zero-shot forecasting through large-scale cross-domain pretraining, while retrieval augmentation further improves their performance by leveraging historical information. However, existing methods typically correct TSFM forecasts using the ground-truth futures of similar historical windows, which contain both predictive components already captured by the foundation model and sample-specific random fluctuation that is difficult to transfer. In contrast, recurring systematic model bias within prediction errors more directly characterizes the failure modes of a frozen TSFM and therefore provides more valuable correction signals. Effectively exploit...

AuthorsXiaoyun Yu, Xiangfei Qiu, Yonggui Huang et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published4 October 2026
Last updated at source4 October 2026
cs.LG
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