Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Image Regression Models with Application to an Inertial Confinement Fusion Emulator
Uncertainty quantification is critical in scientific machine learning, where black-box, image-based models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes settings. In many such applications, model outputs inform costly decisions, yet most methods provide only point estimates without quantifying predictive uncertainty. This challenge is compounded by the limited accessibility and interpretability of model internals, making it difficult to assess reliability across different regions of the input space. As a result, there is a growing need for methods that can provide input-dependent uncertainty estimates to guide both model development and downstream experimentation. To address this need, we prop...
| Authors | Carrie J. Lei-Cramer, Michael S. Jones, Laura J. Wendelberger |
|---|---|
| Primary category | stat.ML |
| Published | 30 September 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 30 September 2026 |
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