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Paper · arXiv

RACE: Residual-Aware Test-Time Adaptation for Neighbor-Rich Time-Series Foundation Model Forecasting

Time-series foundation models (TSFMs) perform strongly across forecasting tasks, but their per-series inference is ill-suited to neighbor-rich forecasting, where each query has access to related but nonidentical historical series. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) and Web/cloud workloads exemplify this setting: CGM trajectories share physiological patterns but vary across individuals, devices, and conditions, while Web/cloud workloads combine common operating regimes with non-stationarity, heavy tails, and bursts. These histories share useful structure, yet neighbors are not equally relevant. Existing methods either fine-tune TSFMs for each target domain, incurring additional costs and ...

AuthorsHao-Nan Shi, Tong Wu, Chen-Cong Sun et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published30 September 2026
Last updated at source30 September 2026
cs.LGstat.ML
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