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Paper · arXiv

OverdoseMoE: A Multi-Expert Framework for Opioid Overdose Risk Prediction

Opioid overdose remains a major clinical and public health burden, highlighting the need for scalable approaches to identify patients at high risk. Here, we investigate diagnosis-specific adaptation for 180-day opioid overdose risk prediction from patients' preceding one-year longitudinal ICD histories. We develop OODMAMBA and OODQWEN through continued pretraining on longitudinal diagnostic sequences followed by task-specific fine-tuning. Building on the stronger Qwen-based predictors, we further propose OVERDOSEMOE, a multi-expert framework that integrates models of different scales using complementary expert-weighting strategies. Diagnosis-specific adaptation consistently improved predi...

AuthorsMingchen Li, Rohan Pandey, Junhui Qian et al.
Primary categorycs.CL
Published30 September 2026
Last updated at source5 October 2026
cs.CL
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