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Paper · arXiv

Signal-Routed Temperature Scaling: Low-Capacity Risk-Conditioned Calibration for Small Validation Budgets

When a classifier is recalibrated from only a few thousand held-out examples, the capacity of the calibration map becomes a statistical design choice rather than a purely architectural one: a scalar map can underfit structured residual miscalibration, while a highly adaptive map can be hard to estimate reliably from so small a split. We disentangle the calibration objective from adaptive capacity and propose signal-routed temperature scaling (SRTS-BCE), a 10-parameter, argmax-preserving calibrator that cross-fits a correctness-risk score over six logit statistics and fits one top-label-BCE temperature per $K=3$ risk groups, recovering TvA-TS as its $K=1$ limit. On fine-tuned CIFAR-100 / V...

AuthorsWenhao Liang, Liangwei Nathan Zheng, Lin Yue et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published30 September 2026
Last updated at source30 September 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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