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Paper · arXiv

When Words Fall Short: Iterative Synergy Between Verbalized Reasoning and Hidden Features for LLM Confidence Estimation

Confidence estimation is crucial for developing trustworthy large language models (LLMs), with most methods following estimator-based or verbalization-based paradigms. While recent research increasingly focuses on improving verbalized self-reports of confidence, we challenge the prevailing view that this approach surpasses independent confidence estimators. Our empirical study shows that a dedicated confidence estimator can substantially outperform verbalized confidence, indicating that LLMs' internal representations contain richer confidence signals. Building on this finding, we propose Iterative Policy-Estimator Training (IPoET), a framework that synergizes the complementary strengths o...

AuthorsYekun Xu, Ante Wang, Jingyi Ren et al.
Primary categorycs.CL
Published28 September 2026
Last updated at source28 September 2026
cs.CL
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