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Paper · arXiv

Dynamical Parameters: An Interpretability Framework for Time-Series Foundation Models

This work studies a central gap in interpreting time-series foundation models (TSFMs): a dynamical property may be accessible in a hidden state even when the forecast fails to respond correctly as that property changes. We formalize these properties as Dynamical Parameters, including trend slope, oscillation frequency, and autoregressive dependence. We compare their representation accessibility, measured by recovery from hidden states, with their forecast response, measured by agreement with the expected forecast change. Across nine frozen TSFMs and thirteen laws, 42 of 63 model-parameter cells achieve accessibility above 0.95, whereas their median reference-aligned response relative to t...

AuthorsKang Yang, Gaofeng Dong, Liying Han et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published28 September 2026
Last updated at source28 September 2026
cs.AI
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