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Paper · arXiv

Optimal Transport Dropout for Structured Predictive Uncertainty

Deterministic neural networks and neural operators provide point predictions with no intrinsic measure of reliability. Yet, predictive uncertainty may stem from irreducible outcome variability, finite data, or limitations of the chosen model class. Monte Carlo dropout offers a computationally convenient way to construct a predictive distribution through stochastic feature masking, without training multiple independent networks or explicitly inferring a posterior over model parameters. However, its perturbation law is largely prescribed a priori and typically factorised across latent coordinates. We introduce Optimal Transport Dropout (OTD), which instead learns the predictive mapping and ...

AuthorsGiacomo Lorenzon, Francesco Regazzoni
Primary categorycs.LG
Published27 September 2026
Last updated at source27 September 2026
cs.LGmath.NA
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