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Paper · arXiv

Robust Bayesian Optimization with Q-Exponential Surrogates

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used framework for optimizing expensive black-box objectives, but standard BO methods often use Gaussian process (GP) surrogates whose Gaussian assumption is sensitive to outliers and heavy-tailed noise. We introduce q-ED-BO, a robust BO method whose surrogate follows a univariate q-exponential (q-ED) distribution, preserving GP-BO's closed-form posterior mean and variance while a shape parameter q controls the tail behavior, recovering the GP at q = 2 and growing heavier-tailed with wider confidence bounds as q decreases. This tractability yields a closed-form q-upper confidence bound (q-UCB) with sublinear regret, and an exact closed-form q-expecte...

AuthorsRichard Cornelius Suwandi, Zhidi Lin, Feng Yin et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published26 September 2026
Last updated at source26 September 2026
cs.LG
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