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A Comparative Analysis of Attention versus State-Space Models for In-Context Learning

Transformers and state-space models (SSMs) are two prominent sequential learning architectures, yet their comparison remains largely empirical and existing theoretical analyses are typically task-specific or architecturally restricted. In this paper, we develop belief geometry, a unified analytical framework for comparing the representational capabilities of broad classes of attention and SSMs. Starting from a generalized formulation of in-context linear regression and using cumulative Bayes regret as our measure, we abstract three capabilities required by many sequential learning problems in our belief geometry: evidence assembly, belief maintenance, and addressing. We then study three c...

AuthorsEnes Arda, Semih Cayci, Atilla Eryilmaz
Primary categorycs.LG
Published26 September 2026
Last updated at source26 September 2026
cs.LG
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