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Externalized CPDAG Summaries Improve LLM Causal Deduction

Corr2Cause asks whether a causal claim holds in every DAG compatible with observed correlations and conditional independencies. We frame this as latent-object reasoning: the label is defined by a CPDAG query, but free-form chain-of-thought often collapses the Markov-equivalence-class problem into local pattern matching. We propose Structured Thinking, a two-turn pipeline that first externalizes a typed, schema-constrained CPDAG summary and then answers against that graph state. On the Corr2Cause full test, Structured Thinking raises Qwen3.5-27B from $73.0$ to $86.4$ $F_1$(Yes) over a strong PC-instruction baseline in the primary paired run ($+13.4$ pp; McNemar $p=2.4\times 10^{-6}$; boots...

AuthorsWentao Sun, João Paulo Nogueira, Dominique Verchere et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published25 September 2026
Last updated at source25 September 2026
cs.AI
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