PEEL: Physics-Enabled Evidential Learning for Identifiable Uncertainty in CT Imaging

Normal-inverse-gamma (NIG) regression is not uniquely identifiable from its marginal Student-t likelihood: the likelihood determines three combinations of four NIG parameters and is constant along a one-dimensional fiber. We identify that fiber using independent physical measurement. As an initial embodiment, a reconstruction network receives one noisy filtered-backprojection (FBP) image and is first trained only by Student-t negative log-likelihood to estimate the three identifiable coordinates (gamma, alpha, c). The network is then frozen; repeated physical-noise realizations propagated through its reconstruction output form a Monte Carlo (MC) teacher label for output-domain aleatoric v...

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