Prediction Is Not Detection: Evaluating Pre-Recognition Claims in Longitudinal Clinical AI
Clinically useful early detection requires validated pre-recognition lead time. Yet event-based evaluations of longitudinal clinical AI can treat recognition-mediated care-process signals as shortcuts and recognition-dependent endpoints as reference standards, inflating apparent performance and lead time while undermining cross-center transport. Such results may serve prognosis without establishing detection before recognition. We define an interval-censored pre-recognition transition, an independent as-of reference standard, and a prespecified recognition proxy to make the claim testable.
| Authors | Jing Yang, Long R. Jiao, Xiujun Cai et al. |
|---|---|
| Primary category | cs.AI |
| Published | 22 September 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 22 September 2026 |
Silytics shows public metadata from arXiv and links to the original. Information may be incomplete or out of date. Last refreshed 17 October 2026. Licenses and terms of the original apply to the work itself. Not financial, legal or professional advice.