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Paper · arXiv

DefaultGNN: A Dual-Perspective GNN Framework for Predicting Corporate Default from Buyer-Seller Transaction Networks

Corporate default prediction is a core problem in financial risk management, yet traditional credit models rely heavily on financial statements that are often sparse or unavailable for many firms. Corporate transaction networks offer a complementary view of real economic activity, but how risk propagates through buyer-seller relationships remains underexplored. We conduct a large-scale empirical study using real-world electronic tax-invoice data spanning six years that links transaction histories with default events, revealing that transaction-driven risk is both role-dependent (buyer or seller) and scale-dependent. Based on these findings, we construct multiplex buyer-view and seller-vie...

AuthorsJunghoon Kim, Hyunsung Kim, Seungyoon Choi et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published22 September 2026
Last updated at source22 September 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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