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Paper · arXiv

Concept Drift from a Causal Perspective

Concept drift is a common phenomenon in real-world data streams, in which changes in the data-generating distribution can degrade predictive model performance. Most existing definitions characterize drift as changes in the joint distribution $P(\mathbf{x}, y)$, without distinguishing which component of the data-generating process has changed. In this work, we introduce a causal perspective on concept drift based on Structural Causal Models (SCMs). We propose a taxonomy that categorizes drift events by their causal origin, including changes in exogenous variables, endogenous mechanisms, confounders, and target-generating processes. Building on this framework, we develop an SCM-based data s...

AuthorsEduardo V. L. Barboza, Jean Paul Barddal, Robert Sabourin et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published21 September 2026
Last updated at source21 September 2026
cs.LGstat.ME
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