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Paper · arXiv

Augmented Hypothesis Testing with Persona-Based LLM Simulations

A/B testing requires large sample sizes, long timelines, and significant costs. When auxiliary predictions of experimental outcomes are available from machine learning models, uncertain prediction quality precludes replacing human experiments entirely, yet these predictions may still contain useful signal. We propose a principled framework for learning-augmented hypothesis testing that leverages predictions of unknown quality to reduce sample sizes while maintaining statistical validity. Predictions naturally vary in granularity, from coarse aggregate signals to fine-grained individual-level estimates, and our framework addresses both ends of this spectrum: (1) for population-level direct...

AuthorsZiyad Benomar, Aymen Al Marjani, Paul Missault et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published21 September 2026
Last updated at source21 September 2026
cs.LGcs.AIstat.AP
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