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Paper · arXiv

Prior-Amortized In-Context Bayesian Inference for Generalized Linear Mixed-Effects Models

Hierarchical data is ubiquitous in the empirical sciences and is most commonly analyzed with generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs). Bayesian inference for GLMMs yields calibrated uncertainty but requires MCMC; the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) is the gold standard but is slow and must restart from scratch for every new dataset, model and prior. We introduce metabeta, a pretrained neural network for prior-amortized in-context Bayesian inference over GLMMs. Unlike previous neural posterior estimators that fix the prior at training time, metabeta accepts prior families and hyperparameters as inputs at test time, enabling zero-shot generalization. Two set transformers and conditional nor...

AuthorsAlex Kipnis, Marcel Binz, Eric Schulz
Primary categorycs.LG
Published21 September 2026
Last updated at source21 September 2026
cs.LGstat.ML
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