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Paper · arXiv

Causal Inference with Unobserved Confounding: A Mixture Learning Perspective

Unobserved confounding is a fundamental challenge in causal inference from observational data. This article develops a mixture-learning perspective, viewing latent confounders as sources of heterogeneity that induce mixture structure in observed data. Under suitable structural and identifiability assumptions, recovering the mixing distribution and component mechanisms enables estimation of interventional distributions and causal estimands. Using variants of Bernoulli mixtures as a running example, we contextualize mixture-learning techniques and their structural assumptions, and connect them to causal inference in panel-data settings, including latent factor models and synthetic intervent...

AuthorsMansi Sood, Devavrat Shah
Primary categorycs.LG
Published19 September 2026
Last updated at source19 September 2026
cs.LGeess.SPstat.CO
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