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Paper · arXiv

Risk-Set Transported Synthetic Control with Difference-in-Differences Adjustment under Staggered Treatment Adoption

In staggered treatment-adoption designs, later-treated units are valid controls for an earlier-treated cohort only until their own treatment begins, so the admissible donor set contracts with event time. Fixing the donor pool at the longest horizon discards temporarily eligible donors, whereas re-estimating synthetic-control weights independently at each horizon can make the counterfactual unstable as donor composition changes. We propose Risk-Set Transported Synthetic Control with Difference-in-Differences Adjustment (RT-SC-DiD). For each cohort and event-time horizon, the estimator fits weights on the currently untreated donors while shrinking them toward a transported reference that re...

AuthorsMojtaba Eslami
Primary categorystat.AP
Published29 July 2026
Last updated at source29 July 2026
stat.APcs.AIecon.EMq-fin.STstat.ME
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