Every Fixed Metric Has a Blind Spot: A Learned Atmospheric Critic for Scoring Forecast Realism
Despite their high accuracy on point-wise metrics, machine learning weather forecasting models can exhibit different failure modes such as blurring, periodic irregularities, and other unphysical spatial artifacts. This has motivated a variety of metrics to detect known failure cases. Existing metrics fix a representation or transformation in advance, and that choice limits the artifacts they can detect. We propose to train a discriminator for separating reference data from the model's output, and using its output logit to obtain a divergence-like realism score. The discriminator learns whatever separates the model's fields from real weather, adapting to whichever failure mode that model e...
| Authors | Younes Elberkennou, Dmitri Demler, Thierry Meier et al. |
|---|---|
| Primary category | cs.LG |
| Published | 16 September 2026 |
| Last updated at source | 13 October 2026 |
Silytics shows public metadata from arXiv and links to the original. Information may be incomplete or out of date. Last refreshed 17 October 2026. Licenses and terms of the original apply to the work itself. Not financial, legal or professional advice.