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Paper · arXiv

Scaling-Score Conformal Prediction for Multi-Target Regression

Multi-target regression requires a model to simultaneously predict several related outputs. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free, finite-sample marginal coverage guarantees, but extending these to joint multi-dimensional regions in a model-agnostic, sample-efficient manner remains challenging: max-aggregation ignores scale differences, copula-based methods are only asymptotically valid, rectangular methods typically split the calibration set, and quantile or density-based methods require training a specialised model beyond a plain point predictor. We propose the scaling-score conformal method, which is model-agnostic (requires only component-wise absolute residuals), uses a sin...

AuthorsSylvain Rousseau, Soundouss Messoudi
Primary categorycs.AI
Published15 September 2026
Last updated at source15 September 2026
cs.AI
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