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Paper · arXiv

FlowATC: Aircraft Trajectory Prediction via Flow Matching

Building accurate decision-support tools for next-generation air traffic control requires robust trajectory prediction models. We present a flow-matching architecture trained exclusively on historical aircraft trajectories, with no route labels or chart supervision. Trained on 1.15 million Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast trajectory windows collected over the San Francisco Bay Area, the model generates aircraft trajectory distributions that closely match historical traffic, reproducing known airspace structure around San Francisco Airport such as the shape of SFO's published NIITE FOUR departure procedure. Our model is trained directly on the native, irregular ADS-B sampling int...

AuthorsMathurin Petit, Emir Torun, Louis Brusset et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published15 September 2026
Last updated at source15 September 2026
cs.LG
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