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Paper · arXiv

A Decision-Support Audit Protocol for Supervision Drift in Proxy-Labeled Credit-Risk Prediction

Credit-risk models are trained on proxy labels and deployed under temporal and segment change, yet no single transfer metric separates base-rate shift, probability-scale shift, and feature-label relationship change. We contribute a design-science artifact: a locked, multi-signal audit protocol for supervision drift in proxy-labeled credit-risk prediction. Five layers (transfer performance, an oracle-gap probe, a calibration diagnostic, feature-label stability, and a synthetic positive control), thresholds, and decision rules were locked before interpretation; a bounded reading is a designed outcome. On a public LendingClub dataset (temporal 2013 to 2016 and cross-segment transfer), rankin...

AuthorsMehrdad Shoeibi, Muhammad Shabanpour, Waldemar Karwowski et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published14 September 2026
Last updated at source14 September 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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